Retail gap / void analysis

PRAIRIE RIDGE
VILLAGE

15210 - 15248 W 135th St, Olathe, KS 66062
Suite 104Turnkey day care, roll-up doors, playground and splash pad5,180 SF
Suite 212Endcap, 2nd generation cafe1,240 SF
Subject property trade area vs. Johnson County ยท Sample deliverable: names, properties and figures are illustrative.

Key findings

  • Sit-down dining is the largest void. The four ZIPs hold 39 full-service restaurants against 98 expected at county density, an estimated $82 million gap in 2022 dollars. Bars run 3 against 12.6. Quick-service is roughly in balance (113 vs 114).
  • Medical and wellness are under-supplied across the board. Physicians' offices 50 vs 99 (est. $133 million gap), dentists 52 vs 76, chiropractors 11 vs 19, physical therapy 17 vs 28, urgent care 7 vs 8.8 and veterinary clinics 10 vs 14.
  • Child care supports the Suite 104 space. The trade area has 11 child day care establishments against 19 expected. The shortfall is sharpest in 66061 (2 vs 5.8) and 66085 (1 vs 3.2).
  • Coffee is already served in the subject ZIP. 66062 has 15 coffee and snack bars against 8.6 expected. Across the trade area the category is short by about 3, so Suite 212 is better aimed at dessert, juice and bagel concepts than at another coffee user.

Site demographics (2026 estimates)

Population, 5 / 10 / 15 min drive29,860 / 181,420 / 468,930
Average household income, 5 min$138,410
Median household income, 5 min$104,760
Median age, 5 min38.6
Center size / year built24,120 SF / 2019

Gap model trade area

Trade area population (2023 estimate)152,380
Per capita income, trade area / county$42,915 / $47,630
Share of county personal income3.62%
Trade area: ZIP codes 66062, 66061, 66213 and 66085 (centroids within 4.2 miles of the site).
Prairie Ridge Village | Retail Gap / Void AnalysisLakeshore Commercial Group, LLC | KS CO000000002

Leakage / surplus by category

Top 16 leakage categories and the 8 largest surpluses. Positive values mark demand the trade area is not capturing (a void); negative values mark categories where supply exceeds resident demand. Lighter bars are low-confidence counts.

-80-60-40-20020406080100Convenience stores77Clothing stores58Bars & drinking places46Full-service restaurants33Physicians' offices32Tobacco & vape shops32Jewelry stores30Office supply, stationery & gift29Electronics & appliance stores29Beauty supply & cosmetics26Supermarkets & grocery26Chiropractors26Shoe stores24Veterinary clinics23Furniture stores22Sporting goods stores21Pharmacies & drug stores−13Hobby, toy & game stores−16Sports & recreation instruction−19Other amusement−21Florists−22Hardware stores−23Coin laundries−49Cell phone & electronics repair−67Leakage / surplus factor (+ = demand leaving the trade area, - = surplus drawing customers in)
Prairie Ridge Village | Retail Gap / Void AnalysisLakeshore Commercial Group, LLC | KS CO000000003

Industry summary

CategoryNAICSDemandSupplyGapLeakage / SurplusBusinessesAt county densityConf.
Bars & drinking places722410$13.8M$5.1M$8.7M46.0312.6Low
Full-service restaurants722511$163.6M$81.9M$81.7M33.33998.5High
Coffee, juice, dessert & snack bars722515$39.5M$33.2M$6.3M8.72628.8Medium
Limited-service restaurants (QSR/fast casual)722513$178.8M$177.4M$1.4M0.4113114.4High
Convenience stores445120$10.1M$1.3M$8.8M77.228.7Low
Clothing stores4481$108.5M$28.6M$79.9M58.31033.5Low
Tobacco & vape shops453991$24.8M$12.8M$12.0M31.958.4Low
Jewelry stores448310n/pn/pn/p29.935.6Low
Office supply, stationery & gift4532$18.0M$9.9M$8.1M29.035.8Low
Electronics & appliance stores4431$63.9M$35.5M$28.4M28.637.9Low
Beauty supply & cosmetics446120n/pn/pn/p25.858.9Low
Supermarkets & grocery445110$346.3M$204.3M$142.0M25.81117.5Medium
Shoe stores448210n/pn/pn/p23.558.1Low
Furniture stores442110$57.8M$37.0M$20.8M21.9711.8Low
Sporting goods stores451110$40.0M$26.2M$13.8M20.858.7Low
Beer, wine & liquor stores445310$15.7M$11.0M$4.7M17.645.1Low
Auto parts stores441310$42.0M$29.6M$12.4M17.31215.9Low
Book stores451211n/pn/pn/p16.122.2Low
Optical goods stores446130n/pn/pn/p10.434.7Low
Dollar & general merchandise452319n/pn/pn/p10.1810.0Low
Used merchandise & thrift453310$13.6M$11.1M$2.5M10.168.8Low
Tire dealers441320$24.0M$21.7M$2.3M5.077.5Low
Vitamin & supplement stores446191$29.6M$28.3M$1.3M2.254.8Low
Specialty food stores4452$40.3M$39.2M$1.1M1.477.0Low
Home furnishings stores4422$54.4M$56.6M-$2.2M-2.01111.8Low
Pet & pet supply stores453910n/pn/pn/p-11.564.8Low
Gas stations w/ convenience447110$194.7M$247.3M-$52.6M-11.92422.8High
Pharmacies & drug stores446110n/pn/pn/p-12.71110.9High
Hobby, toy & game stores451120n/pn/pn/p-16.464.7Low
Florists453110n/pn/pn/p-21.732.3Low
Hardware stores444130n/pn/pn/p-22.874.0Low
Prairie Ridge Village | Retail Gap / Void AnalysisLakeshore Commercial Group, LLC | KS CO000000004

Industry summary (continued)

CategoryNAICSDemandSupplyGapLeakage / SurplusBusinessesAt county densityConf.
Veterinary clinics541940$27.1M$17.1M$10.0M22.61013.8Low
Child day care624410n/pn/pn/p18.81119.4Medium
Beauty salons812112$17.6M$12.8M$4.8M15.83139.4Medium
Other personal care (spa, lash, wax, tanning)812199$11.1M$8.6M$2.5M12.71017.7Low
Barber shops812111$1.4M$1.1M$0.3M12.023.2Low
Pet grooming & boarding812910$6.4M$5.2M$1.2M10.3710.7Low
Dry cleaning & laundry services812320n/pn/pn/p9.545.1Low
Fitness & recreational sports centers713940$22.6M$21.6M$1.0M2.32122.5Medium
Nail salons812113$7.4M$7.4M$0.0M0.01414.1Low
Fine arts schools (music, art, dance)611610$3.2M$3.2M$0.0M0.054.8Low
Tutoring & exam prep611691$1.4M$1.4M$0.0M0.033.6Low
Car washes811192$8.4M$8.8M-$0.4M-2.399.4Low
General auto repair811111$44.1M$48.8M-$4.7M-5.12825.7High
Sports & recreation instruction (martial arts, dance, yoga)611620n/pn/pn/p-18.61712.8Low
Other amusement (escape rooms, indoor play)713990$10.7M$16.5M-$5.8M-21.395.1Low
Coin laundries812310n/pn/pn/p-49.272.5Low
Cell phone & electronics repair811211n/pn/pn/p-67.141.4Low
Physicians' offices621111$274.8M$141.6M$133.2M32.05099.0High
Chiropractors621310$8.6M$5.1M$3.5M25.51119.3Medium
Physical & occupational therapy621340$29.6M$21.2M$8.4M16.51727.5Medium
Urgent care & freestanding emergency621493$32.3M$24.8M$7.5M13.178.8Low
Dentists621210$89.5M$71.6M$17.9M11.15276.1High
Optometrists621320$6.8M$7.2M-$0.4M-2.91111.2Medium
Commercial bank branches522110$303.5M$232.2M$71.3M13.31424.7Medium
Insurance agencies524210$94.9M$78.6M$16.3M9.45071.1High
Tax preparation541213$2.9M$2.7M$0.2M3.61113.2Low
Private mail & shipping centers561431n/pn/pn/p-9.554.0Low
Prairie Ridge Village | Retail Gap / Void AnalysisLakeshore Commercial Group, LLC | KS CO000000005

Suite fit and outreach targets

SUITE 104 | Turnkey day care | 5,180 SF

Best-fit uses: Child care operator first. Physical therapy, chiropractic or primary care as the alternate.

Gap evidence: Child day care 11 vs 19.4 expected. Physical therapy 17 vs 27.5, chiropractors 11 vs 19.3, physicians 50 vs 99.0.

Brand with no location within 3 milesUnits 3 to 10 milesNearest unit
Primrose Schools26.4 mi
Kiddie Academy35.1 mi
The Learning Experience27.2 mi
Athletico Physical Therapy34.6 mi
Great Expressions Dental24.5 mi

SUITE 212 | Endcap cafe | 1,240 SF

Best-fit uses: Dessert, juice or bagel concept suited to a Type II hood (no grease cooking). Waxing or salon as the alternate.

Gap evidence: Coffee and snack bars 26 vs 28.8 across the trade area. Beauty salons 31 vs 39.4, other personal care 10 vs 17.7.

Brand with no location within 3 milesUnits 3 to 10 milesNearest unit
Andy's Frozen Custard34.8 mi
Yogurtland26.3 mi
Smoothie King43.6 mi
Nothing Bundt Cakes35.4 mi
Bruegger's Bagels27.7 mi
Crumbl35.0 mi
Waxing the City35.8 mi
Supercuts43.8 mi

The information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed reliable. Lakeshore Commercial Group, LLC has not verified it and makes no guarantee, warranty or representation about it. Any projections, opinions, assumptions or estimates are for example only and do not represent the current or future performance of the property. You and your advisors should conduct a careful, independent investigation of the property to determine to your satisfaction its suitability for your needs. Sample deliverable: names, properties and figures are illustrative.

Mike Turner, CCIM
Senior Associate
(913) 555-0148
mturner@lakeshorecg.com
KS SP00000000
Lisa Grant, SIOR, CCIM
Designated Broker
(913) 555-0163
lgrant@lakeshorecg.com
KS BR00000000
Lakeshore Commercial Group, LLC
11500 W 119th St, Suite 210
Overland Park, KS 66213
(913) 555-0100 | lakeshorecg.com
KS CO00000000
Prairie Ridge Village | Retail Gap / Void AnalysisLakeshore Commercial Group, LLC | KS CO000000006